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Farnborough Airshow: What Orders Could We See?

What can we expect from the Farnborough Airshow? Here’s one analysis.

The Farnborough Airshow is around the corner and behind closed doors, deals are being firmed up and finishing touches being applied, so that the Airshow can be the forum for the announcements. After the Emirates/Airbus/Boeing fiasco of the Dubai Airshow, we’re certain that manufacturers are going to be making sure that the deals are absolutely airtight before they arrive at the show.

Boeing is bringing the B737MAX and the Biman 787 to the show, but they will be for static display only. Airbus, on the other hand, is going big – they’re bringing the A220-100, the A220-300, A330neo, A321new, A350-1000 and an A380. The A380 will be the HiFly aircraft, on static display, while the A350 and A330neo will be doing flying displays as well.

This lineup of displayed aircraft could be a hint at the orders expected to be announced at the airshow: for example, Airbus just took a major order for the A220 and they may be looking to build on the success by announcing more at the airshow. With a bit of reading/research and going through some archives, we’ve been trying to figure out who could order what, and here’s the list:

 

Potential Boeing Orders:

B772/773ER

British Airways, FlyNas, Thai Airways

B777-9

British Airways

B777 Freighter

Turkish Airlines, Qatar Airways

B787

Lion Air, Emirates, Malaysian Airlines, Thai Airways

B737MAX

AirFrance-KLM

Potential Airbus Orders

A330/A330neo

Malaysian Airlines, FlyNas, AirAsia, IndiGo, Thai Airways

A350

Malaysian Airlines, Thai Airways, Aeroflot

A321LR/A321Neo

FlyNas, AirFrance-KLM

A220

AirFrance-KLM

A320neo

AirFrance-KLM

Some airlines are named in multiple aircraft types, this simply means that they’re either still considering which type to go for, or (as in the case of Air France-KLM) they’re expected to order a mix of types. The above list takes into consideration the negotiations already underway and potential orders that have been indicated but not inked or finalized. Nothing is certain at this point and there could be surprise orders at the show as well. Our analysis is that Boeing will walk away with more wide-body orders, especially for the 787, while Airbus will secure more narrow-body orders, for their A220 and A320neo and A321neo aircraft. In fact, we’ll go out on a limb and make a prediction: Airbus will announce a major A321neo order on Wednesday, July 19.

 

Will we be right? Just a few days until we find out!

Photo: Farnborough Airshow 2010, Source: EUCOM Media Library